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(Inglés) Está Rusia aceptando lentamente la RealPolitik?

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Fermat
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Registrado: Mié Mar 02, 2022 5:42 am

(Inglés) Está Rusia aceptando lentamente la RealPolitik?

Mensaje por Fermat »

Is Russia Slowly Embracing Realpolitik in Ukraine?
Oleksiy Yakubin, 29/11/2022

Dmitry Peskov, the man charged with sharing President Vladimir Putin's views with the rest of the world, last week denied that the Kremlin was attempting to topple the Ukrainian government or bring about regime change. This surprising reversal suggests that Moscow may now finally be prepared to treat Volodymyr Zelensky as Ukraine's legitimately elected leader.

While Peskov's statement obviously raised a few eyebrows — not least as the Kremlin desires nothing more than the power to choose Ukraine's leader — the real question is why anyone would listen to anything Peskov has to say these days in the first place. While there used to be talk of the Kremlin spokesperson's influence, the past nine months have comprehensively demonstrated that his words carry little weight.

Over that same period, Russia has lost whatever international standing it ever possessed. Its invasion alone would have been insufficient to achieve that outcome. But in addition, Russia has also withdrawn from the international organizations and institutions where the legitimacy of the Ukrainian government could reasonably have been discussed. How could that possibly be the subject of discussion now? The legitimacy and legality of the Ukrainian government stem solely from the Ukrainian people.

So what was the point of Peskov's statement?

Arguably, it was intended to flag Moscow's desire to return to a civilized dialogue with Ukraine — and trade in the pseudo-reality in which the Kremlin and its followers have been living for the past year for a healthy dose of Realpolitik. After all, no aggressor can reject peace talks indefinitely unless their troops are being greeted with flowers, and this has not been the case for the Russian military in Ukraine to say the least — even if it's taken the Kremlin a long time to accept the fact.

The Russian government has demonized its Ukrainian counterpart and questioned its legitimacy not only since the beginning of the invasion, but consistently for the past nine years, labeling the Kyiv government as a group of “Nazis and drug addicts” and speaking of the “crimes of the regime” as if the entire country were a prison camp.

Putin has recently started using the term “Ukrainian partners” to refer to Zelensky's government again — something he did last in the summer of 2021. Of course, in Putin’s mercantile understanding of the term, “partners” are not exactly friends — after all, he has long called the West his “partners” too — but it is a significant step up from “Nazis and drug addicts.”

During the summer of 2021, various efforts to resolve the conflict in Donbas were made. The process seemed difficult, but not hopeless. It is therefore significant that in the context of the Turkish- and UN-brokered grain deal, Putin has once again taken to referring to the Kyiv government as his “Ukrainian partners” — and Peskov’s recent assurance that Moscow wasn't seeking regime change in Ukraine only appears to confirm this rhetorical shift.

The Kremlin appears to be adjusting its language around the conflict in an attempt to signal to the world that the aggressor is now ready to return to the negotiating table.

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https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2022/11/ ... ine-a79521
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gines a
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Re: (Inglés) Está Rusia aceptando lentamente la RealPolitik?

Mensaje por gines a »

The Kremlin appears to be adjusting its language around the conflict in an attempt to signal to the world that the aggressor is now ready to return to the negotiating table.
a putin se le acabaron las opciones militares rapidas, y tambien el sueno de anezarse Ucrania en poco tiempo. Es obvio que el conflicto no tiene fin en el corto plazo, y Putin intento cambiar la opinion publica ucraniana destruyendo la infraestructura civil de agua y electricidad, contando con el invierno que viene.

Lo que Putin no contaba es que la ayuda de Occidente tambien vendria en reconstruccion de obras civiles, y lo unico que se logro es deteriorar la opinon publica, incluso de los rusos que viven en Ucrania.

Todo esto significa que Putin ve cada vez mas cerca la posibilidad de tener que negociar con el gobierno de Ucrania.
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